• bitcoinBitcoin (BTC) $ 92,586.00
  • ethereumEthereum (ETH) $ 3,336.58
  • tetherTether (USDT) $ 0.997911
  • xrpXRP (XRP) $ 2.03
  • bnbBNB (BNB) $ 691.56
  • solanaSolana (SOL) $ 189.30
  • dogecoinDogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.313716
  • usd-coinUSDC (USDC) $ 0.999853
  • staked-etherLido Staked Ether (STETH) $ 3,334.85
  • cardanoCardano (ADA) $ 0.846307
  • tronTRON (TRX) $ 0.252862
  • avalanche-2Avalanche (AVAX) $ 35.72
  • the-open-networkToncoin (TON) $ 5.51
  • wrapped-stethWrapped stETH (WSTETH) $ 4,011.27
  • chainlinkChainlink (LINK) $ 20.33
  • shiba-inuShiba Inu (SHIB) $ 0.000021
  • wrapped-bitcoinWrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) $ 92,549.00
  • suiSui (SUI) $ 3.99
  • hedera-hashgraphHedera (HBAR) $ 0.270102
  • polkadotPolkadot (DOT) $ 6.63
  • wethWETH (WETH) $ 3,333.87
  • stellarStellar (XLM) $ 0.327540
  • hyperliquidHyperliquid (HYPE) $ 27.48
  • bitcoin-cashBitcoin Cash (BCH) $ 437.97
  • bitget-tokenBitget Token (BGB) $ 6.21
  • leo-tokenLEO Token (LEO) $ 9.04
  • uniswapUniswap (UNI) $ 12.95
  • pepePepe (PEPE) $ 0.000018
  • litecoinLitecoin (LTC) $ 99.59
  • wrapped-eethWrapped eETH (WEETH) $ 3,521.32
  • nearNEAR Protocol (NEAR) $ 5.06
  • ethena-usdeEthena USDe (USDE) $ 0.996462
  • usdsUSDS (USDS) $ 1.00
  • aaveAave (AAVE) $ 326.18
  • aptosAptos (APT) $ 8.79
  • internet-computerInternet Computer (ICP) $ 9.97
  • mantleMantle (MNT) $ 1.18
  • crypto-com-chainCronos (CRO) $ 0.142663
  • polygon-ecosystem-tokenPOL (ex-MATIC) (POL) $ 0.457564
  • ethereum-classicEthereum Classic (ETC) $ 25.18
  • vechainVeChain (VET) $ 0.043540
  • whitebitWhiteBIT Coin (WBT) $ 24.54
  • moneroMonero (XMR) $ 189.73
  • render-tokenRender (RENDER) $ 6.73
  • virtual-protocolVirtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) $ 3.36
  • mantra-daoMANTRA (OM) $ 3.54
  • bittensorBittensor (TAO) $ 449.57
  • daiDai (DAI) $ 0.999447
  • fetch-aiArtificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) $ 1.28
  • arbitrumArbitrum (ARB) $ 0.735849
  • filecoinFilecoin (FIL) $ 4.87
  • okbOKB (OKB) $ 49.65
  • kaspaKaspa (KAS) $ 0.115127
  • ethenaEthena (ENA) $ 0.950150
  • algorandAlgorand (ALGO) $ 0.316891
  • cosmosCosmos Hub (ATOM) $ 6.25
  • optimismOptimism (OP) $ 1.80
  • tokenize-xchangeTokenize Xchange (TKX) $ 30.19
  • bonkBonk (BONK) $ 0.000031
  • immutable-xImmutable (IMX) $ 1.34
  • theta-tokenTheta Network (THETA) $ 2.29
  • blockstackStacks (STX) $ 1.51
  • celestiaCelestia (TIA) $ 4.76
  • first-digital-usdFirst Digital USD (FDUSD) $ 0.999554
  • fantomFantom (FTM) $ 0.758228
  • movementMovement (MOVE) $ 0.945660
  • binance-peg-wethBinance-Peg WETH (WETH) $ 3,337.44
  • gatechain-tokenGate (GT) $ 15.70
  • injective-protocolInjective (INJ) $ 19.96
  • pudgy-penguinsPudgy Penguins (PENGU) $ 0.030878
  • ondo-financeOndo (ONDO) $ 1.34
  • the-graphThe Graph (GRT) $ 0.202402
  • dogwifcoindogwifhat (WIF) $ 1.84
  • usual-usdUsual USD (USD0) $ 1.00
  • rocket-pool-ethRocket Pool ETH (RETH) $ 3,743.99
  • worldcoin-wldWorldcoin (WLD) $ 2.07
  • sei-networkSei (SEI) $ 0.403898
  • flokiFLOKI (FLOKI) $ 0.000174
  • kelp-dao-restaked-ethKelp DAO Restaked ETH (RSETH) $ 3,441.75
  • lido-daoLido DAO (LDO) $ 1.84
  • coinbase-wrapped-btcCoinbase Wrapped BTC (CBBTC) $ 92,561.00
  • jasmycoinJasmyCoin (JASMY) $ 0.032187
  • thorchainTHORChain (RUNE) $ 4.46
  • mantle-staked-etherMantle Staked Ether (METH) $ 3,507.54
  • lombard-staked-btcLombard Staked BTC (LBTC) $ 92,798.00
  • galaGALA (GALA) $ 0.034216
  • fasttokenFasttoken (FTN) $ 3.36
  • raydiumRaydium (RAY) $ 4.93
  • ai16zai16z (AI16Z) $ 1.28
  • flare-networksFlare (FLR) $ 0.025257
  • beam-2Beam (BEAM) $ 0.025347
  • pyth-networkPyth Network (PYTH) $ 0.366346
  • tezosTezos (XTZ) $ 1.29
  • makerMaker (MKR) $ 1,485.28
  • kucoin-sharesKuCoin (KCS) $ 11.00
  • the-sandboxThe Sandbox (SAND) $ 0.535232
  • nexoNEXO (NEXO) $ 1.29
  • binance-staked-solBinance Staked SOL (BNSOL) $ 193.63
  • solv-btcSolv Protocol SolvBTC (SOLVBTC) $ 92,513.00
  • based-brettBrett (BRETT) $ 0.119369
  • eosEOS (EOS) $ 0.766586
  • renzo-restaked-ethRenzo Restaked ETH (EZETH) $ 3,436.05
  • curve-dao-tokenCurve DAO (CRV) $ 0.909891
  • kaiaKaia (KAIA) $ 0.195007
  • flowFlow (FLOW) $ 0.704046
  • ethereum-name-serviceEthereum Name Service (ENS) $ 32.91
  • jupiter-exchange-solanaJupiter (JUP) $ 0.804205
  • heliumHelium (HNT) $ 6.11
  • starknetStarknet (STRK) $ 0.467830
  • aerodrome-financeAerodrome Finance (AERO) $ 1.44
  • dydx-chaindYdX (DYDX) $ 1.47
  • arweaveArweave (AR) $ 15.88
  • xdce-crowd-saleXDC Network (XDC) $ 0.069646
  • msolMarinade Staked SOL (MSOL) $ 236.54
  • bittorrentBitTorrent (BTT) $ 0.000001
  • iotaIOTA (IOTA) $ 0.284513
  • bitcoin-svBitcoin SV (BSV) $ 51.10
  • coredaoorgCore (CORE) $ 1.07
  • neoNEO (NEO) $ 13.76
  • axie-infinityAxie Infinity (AXS) $ 6.13
  • elrond-erd-2MultiversX (EGLD) $ 33.67
  • jito-governance-tokenJito (JTO) $ 3.33
  • zcashZcash (ZEC) $ 57.98
  • ether-fi-staked-ethether.fi Staked ETH (EETH) $ 3,337.95
  • solv-protocol-solvbtc-bbnSolv Protocol SolvBTC.BBN (SOLVBTC.BB) $ 92,396.00
  • matic-networkPolygon (MATIC) $ 0.457254
  • decentralandDecentraland (MANA) $ 0.470221
  • aioz-networkAIOZ Network (AIOZ) $ 0.775432
  • apecoinApeCoin (APE) $ 1.20
  • pendlePendle (PENDLE) $ 5.27
  • wbnbWrapped BNB (WBNB) $ 691.35
  • wormholeWormhole (W) $ 0.293607
  • spx6900SPX6900 (SPX) $ 0.867328
  • mog-coinMog Coin (MOG) $ 0.000002
  • fartcoinFartcoin (FARTCOIN) $ 0.809806
  • arbitrum-bridged-wbtc-arbitrum-oneArbitrum Bridged WBTC (Arbitrum One) (WBTC) $ 92,377.00
  • l2-standard-bridged-weth-baseL2 Standard Bridged WETH (Base) (WETH) $ 3,334.39
  • chilizChiliz (CHZ) $ 0.082613
  • popcatPopcat (POPCAT) $ 0.780214
  • usddUSDD (USDD) $ 0.999909
  • dexeDeXe (DEXE) $ 13.13
  • eigenlayerEigenlayer (EIGEN) $ 3.50
  • conflux-tokenConflux (CFX) $ 0.155806
  • reserve-rights-tokenReserve Rights (RSR) $ 0.013629
  • arbitrum-bridged-weth-arbitrum-oneArbitrum Bridged WETH (Arbitrum One) (WETH) $ 3,335.90
  • jupiter-staked-solJupiter Staked SOL (JUPSOL) $ 202.30
  • pancakeswap-tokenPancakeSwap (CAKE) $ 2.48
  • gnosisGnosis (GNO) $ 273.13
  • akash-networkAkash Network (AKT) $ 2.84
  • zksyncZKsync (ZK) $ 0.190420
  • mina-protocolMina Protocol (MINA) $ 0.581156
  • roninRonin (RON) $ 1.85
  • binance-peg-dogecoinBinance-Peg Dogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.313309
  • compound-governance-tokenCompound (COMP) $ 75.89
  • peanut-the-squirrelPeanut the Squirrel (PNUT) $ 0.672902
  • ecasheCash (XEC) $ 0.000034
  • havvenSynthetix Network (SNX) $ 1.96
  • dydxdYdX (ETHDYDX) $ 1.47
  • amp-tokenAmp (AMP) $ 0.007732
  • gigachad-2Gigachad (GIGA) $ 0.067579
  • fraxFrax (FRAX) $ 0.994059
  • mantle-restaked-ethMantle Restaked ETH (CMETH) $ 3,509.14
  • tether-goldTether Gold (XAUT) $ 2,609.57
  • turboTurbo (TURBO) $ 0.009237
  • echelon-primeEchelon Prime (PRIME) $ 12.45
  • ether-fi-staked-btcEther.fi Staked BTC (EBTC) $ 92,192.00
  • notcoinNotcoin (NOT) $ 0.006225
  • superfarmSuperVerse (SUPER) $ 1.41
  • axelarAxelar (AXL) $ 0.684447
  • cat-in-a-dogs-worldcat in a dogs world (MEW) $ 0.006736
  • terra-lunaTerra Luna Classic (LUNC) $ 0.000108
  • susdssUSDS (SUSDS) $ 1.02
  • oasis-networkOasis (ROSE) $ 0.085849
  • dog-go-to-the-moon-runeDog (Bitcoin) (DOG) $ 0.005756
  • layerzeroLayerZero (ZRO) $ 5.18
  • grassGrass (GRASS) $ 2.33
  • coinbase-wrapped-staked-ethCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETH (CBETH) $ 3,618.36
  • ordinalsORDI (ORDI) $ 26.50
  • livepeerLivepeer (LPT) $ 14.99
  • beldexBeldex (BDX) $ 0.079363
  • 1inch1inch (1INCH) $ 0.386128
  • paypal-usdPayPal USD (PYUSD) $ 0.999764
  • vanaVana (VANA) $ 17.26
  • kusamaKusama (KSM) $ 33.34
  • chex-tokenCHEX Token (CHEX) $ 0.528159
  • apenftAPENFT (NFT) $ 0.00000053
  • pax-goldPAX Gold (PAXG) $ 2,628.74
  • blurBlur (BLUR) $ 0.246048
  • safeSafe (SAFE) $ 0.995454
  • nervos-networkNervos Network (CKB) $ 0.011210
  • baby-doge-coinBaby Doge Coin (BABYDOGE) $ 0.00000000
  • usdx-money-usdxusdx.money USDX (USDX) $ 0.994673
  • bitcoin-avalanche-bridged-btc-bAvalanche Bridged BTC (Avalanche) (BTC.B) $ 92,358.00
  • usualUsual (USUAL) $ 1.02
  • true-usdTrueUSD (TUSD) $ 0.998982
  • frax-etherFrax Ether (FRXETH) $ 3,337.05
  • kavaKava (KAVA) $ 0.455126
  • aixbtaixbt by Virtuals (AIXBT) $ 0.493147
  • pumpbtcpumpBTC (PUMPBTC) $ 91,350.00
  • polygon-pos-bridged-weth-polygon-posPolygon PoS Bridged WETH (Polygon POS) (WETH) $ 3,335.88

Kamala Harris Presidential Odds Tie With Trump’s on Polymarket

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Vice President Kamala Harris is now tied with former president Donald Trump at 49% among bettors looking to predict the next occupant of the White House on crypto prediction platform Polymarket. The wager is the single largest betting pool on the site, with over $541 million riding on the contest.

The milestone comes the day after Harris announced Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate—a development that confounded Polymarket users that had heavily favored Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro.

Kamala Harris is now tied with Trump. pic.twitter.com/04dQx3kWBl

— Polymarket (@Polymarket) August 7, 2024

As Polymarket noted the tie on Twitter, Harris and Walz—as well as Donald Trump’s running mate, J.D. Vance (R-OH)—are both campaigning in Michigan.

Harris odds on the site have risen steadily since July 21, when Biden dropped out. At the time, her odds were 30% compared to Trump’s at 64%. At that point, as Biden was recovering from COVID-19 and rumors of his withdrawal were widespread, the president’s odds had already slipped to 7%.

Prediction markets like Polymarket are often touted as meaningful sources of probabilities and predictors of market sentiment, in contrast to public opinion polls. Prediction market participants are self-selecting, however, and Polymarket, in particular, skews heavily in favor of crypto users, which uses Polygon, a layer-2 scaling solution on the Ethereum blockchain.

Polymarket odds are often quick to react to breaking news, such as the assassination attempt on Trump. Harris’ choice of Walz over Shapiro on Tuesday, meanwhile, shows that prediction markets can miss the mark.

The platform recently picked up prominent statistician Nate Silver as an advisor. Silver’s previous polling aggregator, FiveThirtyEight, is now owned by ABC under the name 538, while Silver publishes his own analysis as Silver Bulletin.

Some personal news! I’m super excited to be working with Shayne and advising @Polymarket. Prediction markets are really having a moment—instantly reacting to things like Biden’s debate performance, for instance. https://t.co/CQyLSe6lto

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 17, 2024

Polymarket has been experiencing explosive traffic and popularity in recent weeks, driven largely by the presidential race and U.S. politics. In July, an incredibly chaotic month that included an attempted assassination of Trump and President Joe Biden withdrawing from the race—the site facilitated a record $387 million in trading volume, according to a Dune dashboard. That was more than triple its volume in June.

In fact, one week into August, Polymarket has already racked up $130 million in trades.

Source

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